In a startling boost to the hotel industry, the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index recorded a robust 8.2% growth in July, nudging its value to an impressive 6,074 level. This surge highlights investors’ renewed confidence in the hotel sector, overshadowing some of the prominent indices in the stock market.
Bellisario Notes Positive Momentum
The hotel industry, renowned for being one of the most hit sectors during the pandemic, is manifesting signs of a resilient rebound. According to Michael Bellisario, Baird’s senior hotel research analyst and director, hotel stocks have outpaced the broader stock market in recent months. This resurgence can be attributed to a host of factors.
Leading the ascent are the global hotel brands. The boost is, in part, due to the momentum of the broader stock market, accompanied by the increasing willingness of investors to venture into riskier assets. Moreover, Bellisario emphasizes that the augmentation in international strength and the rejuvenation of cross-border travel have further favoured the Global Hotel Brands.
However, it’s not all sunshine and roses. While the global brands have prospered, Hotel REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) face a more daunting challenge. The forecasts predict these entities’ challenging growth trajectory throughout the year. Nevertheless, Bellisario remarks, “Investor expectations have been realigned recently, mirroring this subdued growth perspective more realistically.”
Hite Weighs In On The Current Trend
Adding to the analysis, Amanda Hite, the president of STR, presents an insight into the demand trends. The last quarter marked an almost stagnant year-on-year demand, a pattern that has been consistently observed. Yet, this shouldn’t be mistaken for a slowdown. Hite explains, “The industry is still transitioning from recovery to stabilization. The subdued growth this summer represents more of a return to familiar terrains rather than an actual dip in performance.”
The more significant markets, often referred to as the Top 25, are experiencing a surge in demand. In contrast, the other markets are reverting to their conventional performance metrics. The Average Daily Rate (ADR) and Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR) also exhibited growth in July, albeit at the most modest pace since the pandemic’s onset.
Comparative Market Performance
To put the growth of the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index into perspective, one can look at its counterparts. In the same month, the widely-tracked S&P 500 could muster a growth of just 3.1%. Similarly, the MSCI US REIT Index trailed with a 2.7% increment.
Diving deeper into the sub-indices, the Hotel Brand sub-index marked an impressive 9.0% rise, pushing its value to 11,492 from its June figure. Concurrently, the Hotel REIT sub-index posted a 5.3% growth, landing at 1,129.
Conclusion
July has been remarkable for the hotel industry, reflecting the positive sentiments of investors and the industry’s ability to bounce back. While challenges remain, particularly for the Hotel REITs, the overall trajectory suggests a promising future.
Written by: Jill Walsh